Corrigendum: Characterizing a joint probability distribution by conditionals
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
The Probability of Conditionals
We report two studies investigating how naïve reasoners evaluate the probability that a conditional assertion is true, and the conditional probability that the consequent of the conditional is true given that the antecedent is true. The mental model theory predicts that individuals should evaluate the probability of a conditional on the basis of the mental models representing the conditional, a...
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This paper explores the interaction of well-motivated (if controversial) principles governing the probability conditionals, with accounts of what it is for a sentence to be indefinite. The conclusion can be played in a variety of ways. It could be regarded as a new reason to be suspicious of the intuitive data about the probability of conditionals; or, holding fixed the data, it could be used t...
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0263-2241/$ see front matter 2013 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.measurement.2013.08.007 q This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-No Derivative Works License, which permits non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author a...
متن کاملThe Probability of Iterated Conditionals
Iterated conditionals of the form If p, then if q, r are an important topic in philosophical logic. In recent years, psychologists have gained much knowledge about how people understand simple conditionals, but there are virtually no published psychological studies of iterated conditionals. This paper presents experimental evidence from a study comparing the iterated form, If p, then if q, r wi...
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Intuitively, it seems that both sentences are of the form: it’s likely that x, where, in the first case, x = Georgia will join the E.U. and, in the second case, x = if Russia needs foreign aid, Georgia will join the E.U.. Understanding how these sentences get their meaning as a function of the meaning of both the embedding construction, it’s likely that . . . , and the embedded sentence, x, wou...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology)
سال: 1999
ISSN: 1369-7412,1467-9868
DOI: 10.1111/1467-9868.00189